Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). McMichael wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Haula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.3% vs Haula 52.3% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Haula leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
McMichael 56.1%
Defensive zone
McMichael 57.5%
Neutral zone
McMichael 54.6%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
McMichael
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
McMichael
Haula
Last 10: McMichael 6-4 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
McMichael
Haula
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
0
1
McMichael
Haula
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
3
4
McMichael
Haula
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (1,583)
52.8% (7,726)
-9.5%
Power Play
46.0% (139)
57.3% (607)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (176)
43.4% (798)
-5.9%
On power play, Haula has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. McMichael is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,261).
McMichael shoots left. Haula is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (5,827).
Home / Away
McMichael
Haula
Home
42.6% (976)
53.4% (4,520)
Away
43.3% (922)
51.3% (4,611)
By Period
McMichael
Haula
P1
43.3%
53.2%
P2
43.1%
51.4%
P3
42.1%
52.6%
OT
75.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
42.6%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 09:03 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 10:11 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 14:57 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 14:48 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 11:36 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 06:14 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 17:39 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 12:27 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 10:12 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 00:55 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 14:23 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 3 | 00:14 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 10:37 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 12:48 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 05:48 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 03:48 | Offensive | Erik Haula |