Connor McMichael vs Mikael Backlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.9% vs Backlund 49.8% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 71.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 62.4%
Neutral zone
McMichael 54.4%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
McMichael
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
McMichael
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
McMichael
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (408)
50.5% (944)
-7.6%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
51.5% (66)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (105)
47.1% (297)
-8.1%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. McMichael is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (376).
McMichael shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
McMichael
Backlund
Home
43.0% (298)
48.1% (636)
Away
42.6% (270)
51.4% (671)
By Period
McMichael
Backlund
P1
46.6%
45.4%
P2
40.8%
54.1%
P3
41.8%
49.2%
Final 5 min
43.3%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 10:39 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |