Connor McMichael vs Mikael Backlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings). McMichael wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.3% vs Backlund 49.0% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 15-6 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
McMichael 86.4%
Defensive zone
McMichael 86.8%
Neutral zone
McMichael 87.2%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 86.8%
86.8%
13.2%
McMichael
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
15
(21 meetings)
6
15
McMichael
Backlund
Last 10: McMichael 3-7 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
4
0
McMichael
Backlund
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
10
McMichael
Backlund
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
2
5
McMichael
Backlund
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (1,583)
49.7% (13,463)
-6.4%
Power Play
46.0% (139)
51.5% (1,338)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (176)
43.9% (2,465)
-6.4%
On even strength, Backlund has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. McMichael is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,261).
McMichael shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,020).
Home / Away
McMichael
Backlund
Home
42.6% (976)
49.7% (8,621)
Away
43.3% (922)
48.3% (8,650)
By Period
McMichael
Backlund
P1
43.3%
48.5%
P2
43.1%
50.3%
P3
42.1%
48.4%
OT
75.0%
45.1%
Final 5 min
42.6%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 10:39 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 10:28 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 02:28 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 3 | 02:48 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 3 | 02:42 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 3 | 02:37 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 2 | 16:15 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 1 | 19:48 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 1 | 19:08 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 1 | 03:06 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 1 | 02:55 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 1 | 02:49 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 1 | 02:47 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 8, 2022 | 2 | 02:33 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 09:50 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Oct 23, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |