Connor McMichael vs Morgan Frost

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Morgan Frost holds a +14.3% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McMichael 43.9% vs Frost 56.4% (-14.3%)
Offensive zone Frost 79.7%
Defensive zone McMichael 72.3%
Neutral zone Frost 53.2%
Result Morgan Frost favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
McMichael Frost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
McMichael
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (408)
56.0% (755)
-13.1%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
60.1% (173)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (105)
88.9% (9)
-49.9%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +49.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Frost shoots left. McMichael is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (376).
McMichael shoots left. Frost is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (647).
Home / Away
McMichael
Frost
Home
43.0% (298)
57.3% (497)
Away
42.6% (270)
56.8% (440)
By Period
McMichael
Frost
P1
46.6%
60.2%
P2
40.8%
56.0%
P3
41.8%
54.8%
Final 5 min
43.3%
52.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
38.0%
45.0%
42.8%
Frost
68.0%
63.0%
57.1%