Connor McMichael vs Morgan Frost
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McMichael wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.3% vs Frost 50.6% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McMichael 66.8%
Defensive zone
McMichael 84.3%
Neutral zone
McMichael 77.5%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 75.9%
75.9%
24.1%
McMichael
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
McMichael
Frost
Last 10: McMichael 3-7 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
4
McMichael
Frost
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
3
1
McMichael
Frost
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Frost
0
2
McMichael
Frost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (1,583)
49.7% (3,652)
-6.4%
Power Play
46.0% (139)
55.4% (632)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (176)
55.0% (40)
-17.5%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. McMichael is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,261).
McMichael shoots left. Frost is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,843).
Home / Away
McMichael
Frost
Home
42.6% (976)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
43.3% (922)
49.8% (2,223)
By Period
McMichael
Frost
P1
43.3%
51.2%
P2
43.1%
51.3%
P3
42.1%
48.8%
OT
75.0%
64.9%
Final 5 min
42.6%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:27 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Oct 22, 2024 | 3 | 08:26 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 02:36 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 06:52 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 02:07 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 2 | 15:26 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 2 | 07:16 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 1 | 14:51 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 1 | 05:00 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 1 | 03:35 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |