Who wins more faceoffs, Connor McMichael or Nick Bjugstad?

Nick Bjugstad leads the head-to-head 6-2 across 8 faceoffs.

What is Connor McMichael's faceoff record against Nick Bjugstad?

Connor McMichael is 2-6 against Nick Bjugstad in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 2-0, Defensive 0-4, Neutral 0-2.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Connor McMichael or Nick Bjugstad?

Connor McMichael is the predicted winner with a 72.3% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Connor McMichael vs Nick Bjugstad

Connor McMichaelL vs Nick BjugstadR

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Nick Bjugstad holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McMichael wins 38.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) McMichael 43.3% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (-6.1%)

H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone McMichael 71.5%

Defensive zone McMichael 72.8%

Neutral zone McMichael 72.2%

Result Connor McMichael favored at 72.3%

72.3%

27.7%

McMichael Bjugstad

Head-to-Head Record

2 - 6 (8 meetings)

McMichael Bjugstad

Last 8: McMichael 2-6 Bjugstad

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: McMichael

McMichael Bjugstad

2 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: Bjugstad

McMichael Bjugstad

4 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: Bjugstad

McMichael Bjugstad

2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

McMichael

Bjugstad

Edge

Even Strength

43.3% (1,583)

48.6% (6,646)

-5.3%

Power Play

46.0% (139)

55.2% (829)

-9.2%

Penalty Kill

37.5% (176)

44.3% (614)

-6.8%

On power play, Bjugstad has a +9.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Bjugstad shoots right. McMichael is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (637).

McMichael shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,753).

Home / Away

McMichael

Bjugstad

Home

42.6% (976)

49.8% (4,023)

Away

43.3% (922)

48.1% (4,066)

By Period

McMichael

Bjugstad

43.3%

48.9%

43.1%

49.1%

42.1%

48.5%

75.0%

61.3%

Final 5 min

42.6%

47.4%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

McMichael

38.0%▼

45.0%

42.9%

Bjugstad

42.0%▼

48.0%

49.0%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Nov 5, 2025	3	16:55	Offensive	Connor McMichael
Nov 5, 2025	2	12:14	Defensive	Nick Bjugstad
Mar 3, 2024	1	14:55	Neutral	Nick Bjugstad
Mar 3, 2024	1	00:00	Neutral	Nick Bjugstad
Dec 4, 2023	2	15:30	Defensive	Nick Bjugstad
Dec 4, 2023	2	12:27	Defensive	Nick Bjugstad
Dec 4, 2023	2	06:04	Defensive	Nick Bjugstad
Dec 4, 2023	1	04:40	Offensive	Connor McMichael

McMichael's Profile | Bjugstad's Profile