Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.9% vs Foligno 49.9% (-7.1%)
Offensive zone
Foligno 51.1%
Defensive zone
Foligno 53.4%
Neutral zone
Foligno 53.0%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
McMichael
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (408)
49.5% (291)
-6.6%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
55.8% (43)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (105)
47.2% (53)
-8.2%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. McMichael is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (376).
McMichael shoots left. Foligno is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
McMichael
Foligno
Home
43.0% (298)
48.9% (178)
Away
42.6% (270)
50.7% (209)
By Period
McMichael
Foligno
P1
46.6%
43.0%
P2
40.8%
55.9%
P3
41.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.3%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.9%