Connor McMichael vs Nick Foligno
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McMichael wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.3% vs Foligno 48.6% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 68.8%
Defensive zone
McMichael 73.7%
Neutral zone
McMichael 70.1%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 71.1%
71.1%
28.9%
McMichael
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
McMichael
Foligno
Last 7: McMichael 2-5 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
3
McMichael
Foligno
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
2
1
McMichael
Foligno
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
McMichael
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (1,583)
48.3% (2,840)
-5.0%
Power Play
46.0% (139)
52.3% (731)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (176)
44.0% (457)
-6.5%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. McMichael is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,261).
McMichael shoots left. Foligno is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,512).
Home / Away
McMichael
Foligno
Home
42.6% (976)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
43.3% (922)
47.2% (2,017)
By Period
McMichael
Foligno
P1
43.3%
47.8%
P2
43.1%
50.5%
P3
42.1%
48.2%
OT
75.0%
29.7%
Final 5 min
42.6%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 14:16 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 13:48 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:19 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 07:04 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:19 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 05:50 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |