Connor McMichael vs Nick Schmaltz
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 39.1% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.9% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 74.1%
Defensive zone
McMichael 74.5%
Neutral zone
McMichael 52.4%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 74.1%
25.9%
74.1%
McMichael
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
McMichael
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
McMichael
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (408)
45.9% (697)
-3.0%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
47.9% (117)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (105)
48.0% (25)
-9.0%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. McMichael is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (192).
McMichael shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
McMichael
Schmaltz
Home
43.0% (298)
44.9% (434)
Away
42.6% (270)
47.7% (405)
By Period
McMichael
Schmaltz
P1
46.6%
41.5%
P2
40.8%
46.7%
P3
41.8%
51.1%
Final 5 min
43.3%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 12:25 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |