Who wins more faceoffs, Connor McMichael or Nick Schmaltz?

Nick Schmaltz leads the head-to-head 4-3 across 7 faceoffs.

What is Connor McMichael's faceoff record against Nick Schmaltz?

Connor McMichael is 3-4 against Nick Schmaltz in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Offensive 1-2, Defensive 2-1, Neutral 0-1.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Connor McMichael or Nick Schmaltz?

Nick Schmaltz is the predicted winner with a 57.4% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Connor McMichael vs Nick Schmaltz

Connor McMichaelL vs Nick SchmaltzR

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.9% vs 42.4%). Look for Schmaltz on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McMichael wins 38.3% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) McMichael 43.3% vs Schmaltz 42.6% (+0.5%)

H2H factor Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone Schmaltz 71.3%

Defensive zone McMichael 54.5%

Neutral zone Schmaltz 51.6%

Result Nick Schmaltz favored at 57.4%

42.6%

57.4%

McMichael Schmaltz

Head-to-Head Record

3 - 4 (7 meetings)

McMichael Schmaltz

Last 7: McMichael 3-4 Schmaltz

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone

Edge: Schmaltz

McMichael Schmaltz

3 total

Defensive Zone

Edge: McMichael

McMichael Schmaltz

3 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: Schmaltz

McMichael Schmaltz

1 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

McMichael

Schmaltz

Edge

Even Strength

43.3% (1,583)

41.3% (3,431)

+2.0%

Power Play

46.0% (139)

47.3% (655)

-1.3%

Penalty Kill

37.5% (176)

47.4% (135)

-9.9%

On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +9.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

Schmaltz shoots right. McMichael is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (637).

McMichael shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,049).

Home / Away

McMichael

Schmaltz

Home

42.6% (976)

42.8% (2,114)

Away

43.3% (922)

42.0% (2,107)

By Period

McMichael

Schmaltz

43.3%

41.3%

43.1%

42.8%

42.1%

43.1%

75.0%

42.4%

Final 5 min

42.6%

42.3%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

McMichael

38.0%▼

45.0%

42.9%

Schmaltz

42.0%▼

46.0%

42.4%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Mar 26, 2026	1	12:25	Offensive	Nick Schmaltz
Mar 3, 2024	3	09:46	Defensive	Connor McMichael
Mar 3, 2024	3	02:49	Defensive	Connor McMichael
Mar 3, 2024	2	17:40	Offensive	Nick Schmaltz
Dec 4, 2023	3	16:20	Offensive	Connor McMichael
Dec 4, 2023	1	16:28	Defensive	Nick Schmaltz
Dec 4, 2023	1	16:15	Neutral	Nick Schmaltz

McMichael's Profile | Schmaltz's Profile