Connor McMichael vs Ryan Poehling
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.9% vs Poehling 48.0% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 71.8%
Defensive zone
Poehling 53.3%
Neutral zone
McMichael 51.7%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
McMichael
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
McMichael
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
McMichael
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (408)
50.4% (680)
-7.5%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
58.3% (12)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (105)
38.8% (219)
+0.2%
On power play, Poehling has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. McMichael is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (376).
McMichael shoots left. Poehling is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
McMichael
Poehling
Home
43.0% (298)
47.4% (422)
Away
42.6% (270)
48.1% (489)
By Period
McMichael
Poehling
P1
46.6%
53.3%
P2
40.8%
40.3%
P3
41.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 06:06 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |