Connor McMichael vs Ryan Poehling
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for McMichael on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). McMichael wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.3% vs Poehling 48.3% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
McMichael leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Poehling 73.8%
Defensive zone
Poehling 94.6%
Neutral zone
Poehling 92.3%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 85.4%
14.6%
85.4%
McMichael
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
5
(17 meetings)
12
5
McMichael
Poehling
Last 10: McMichael 5-5 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
7
0
McMichael
Poehling
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
2
3
McMichael
Poehling
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
3
2
McMichael
Poehling
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (1,583)
49.6% (2,780)
-6.3%
Power Play
46.0% (139)
51.6% (93)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (176)
41.7% (635)
-4.2%
On even strength, Poehling has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. McMichael is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,261).
McMichael shoots left. Poehling is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,357).
Home / Away
McMichael
Poehling
Home
42.6% (976)
49.3% (1,706)
Away
43.3% (922)
47.2% (1,802)
By Period
McMichael
Poehling
P1
43.3%
50.8%
P2
43.1%
47.1%
P3
42.1%
47.2%
OT
75.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
42.6%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 06:06 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 13:59 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 09:34 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 11:11 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 01:45 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 01:36 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 18:31 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 3 | 19:31 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 1 | 10:35 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 10:07 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 13:25 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 17:34 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 15:52 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |