Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.9% vs Kuraly 51.0% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 58.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 82.8%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 74.9%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
McMichael
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
McMichael
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
0
McMichael
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (408)
52.6% (464)
-9.7%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
100.0% (1)
-50.9%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (105)
46.5% (155)
-7.5%
On power play, Kuraly has a +50.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. McMichael is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (376).
McMichael shoots left. Kuraly is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
McMichael
Kuraly
Home
43.0% (298)
55.9% (322)
Away
42.6% (270)
46.0% (298)
By Period
McMichael
Kuraly
P1
46.6%
55.9%
P2
40.8%
46.7%
P3
41.8%
50.7%
Final 5 min
43.3%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2025 | 2 | 13:41 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |