Connor McMichael vs Sean Kuraly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McMichael wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.3% vs Kuraly 50.4% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
McMichael 89.0%
Defensive zone
McMichael 54.9%
Neutral zone
McMichael 76.4%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 75.5%
75.5%
24.5%
McMichael
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
McMichael
Kuraly
Last 10: McMichael 4-6 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
4
2
McMichael
Kuraly
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
4
McMichael
Kuraly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
McMichael
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (1,583)
51.6% (5,161)
-8.3%
Power Play
46.0% (139)
56.4% (101)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (176)
44.4% (1,091)
-6.9%
On power play, Kuraly has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. McMichael is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,261).
McMichael shoots left. Kuraly is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,119).
Home / Away
McMichael
Kuraly
Home
42.6% (976)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
43.3% (922)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
McMichael
Kuraly
P1
43.3%
51.2%
P2
43.1%
50.0%
P3
42.1%
50.2%
OT
75.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
42.6%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2025 | 2 | 13:41 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 15:06 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 19:31 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 14:04 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 19:42 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 12:31 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 15:46 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 09:03 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 01:47 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 2 | 13:45 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 15:15 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 4, 2021 | 1 | 11:06 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |