Scouting Report
Connor McMichael holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.9% vs Novak 42.5% (+2.0%)
Offensive zone
Novak 74.7%
Defensive zone
McMichael 67.8%
Neutral zone
McMichael 50.5%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
McMichael
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
42.9% (408)
40.4% (408)
+2.5%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
45.5% (33)
+3.6%
On power play, McMichael has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. McMichael is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (376).
McMichael shoots left. Novak is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
McMichael
Novak
Home
43.0% (298)
42.0% (212)
Away
42.6% (270)
39.7% (229)
By Period
McMichael
Novak
P1
46.6%
41.9%
P2
40.8%
39.3%
P3
41.8%
42.1%
Final 5 min
43.3%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
38.0%▼
45.0%
42.8%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%