Connor Zary vs Elias Pettersson

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Elias Pettersson holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Pettersson shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Zary 47.1% vs Pettersson 47.2% (-1.7%)
Offensive zone Pettersson 57.8%
Defensive zone Zary 51.2%
Neutral zone Zary 50.6%
Result Elias Pettersson favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Zary Pettersson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Zary
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (136)
45.9% (834)
+1.2%
Power Play
31.6% (19)
55.1% (256)
-23.5%
On power play, Pettersson has a +23.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Zary is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (80).
Zary shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (779).
Home / Away
Zary
Pettersson
Home
45.6% (79)
49.1% (607)
Away
44.7% (76)
44.7% (595)
By Period
Zary
Pettersson
P1
48.3%
45.5%
P2
46.3%
48.0%
P3
39.5%
47.1%
Final 5 min
47.1%
43.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%
46.0%
45.2%
Pettersson
44.0%
52.5%
46.9%