Connor Zary vs Elias Pettersson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Zary on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Zary wins 39.5% vs left-shot opponents — Pettersson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 41.7% vs Pettersson 45.8% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 58.7%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 67.3%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 57.7%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Zary
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Zary
Pettersson
Last 7: Zary 4-3 Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
0
2
Zary
Pettersson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zary
4
1
Zary
Pettersson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
40.5% (425)
45.0% (4,409)
-4.5%
Power Play
36.2% (58)
55.0% (513)
-18.8%
On power play, Pettersson has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. Zary is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (276).
Zary shoots left. Pettersson is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,477).
Home / Away
Zary
Pettersson
Home
40.6% (283)
46.5% (2,603)
Away
39.0% (200)
44.9% (2,553)
By Period
Zary
Pettersson
P1
39.3%
44.5%
P2
36.5%
45.6%
P3
44.7%
47.3%
OT
0.0%
40.3%
Final 5 min
34.3%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
46.0%▲
41.5%
40.0%
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2025 | 3 | 10:46 | Neutral | Connor Zary |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 3 | 10:39 | Neutral | Connor Zary |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 2 | 18:40 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 2 | 16:01 | Neutral | Connor Zary |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 2 | 06:55 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 1 | 18:40 | Neutral | Connor Zary |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 04:56 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |