Scouting Report
Jack McBain holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for McBain on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Zary wins 39.5% vs left-shot opponents — McBain shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 41.7% vs McBain 46.6% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zary 61.2%
Defensive zone
McBain 85.7%
Neutral zone
McBain 65.1%
Result
Jack McBain favored at 59.7%
40.3%
59.7%
Zary
McBain
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Zary
McBain
Last 7: Zary 4-3 McBain
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McBain
1
2
Zary
McBain
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zary
2
0
Zary
McBain
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Zary
McBain
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
McBain
Edge
Even Strength
40.5% (425)
48.0% (2,257)
-7.5%
Power Play
36.2% (58)
46.9% (49)
-10.7%
On power play, McBain has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McBain shoots left. Zary is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (276).
Zary shoots left. McBain is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,631).
Home / Away
Zary
McBain
Home
40.6% (283)
48.8% (1,321)
Away
39.0% (200)
44.1% (1,289)
By Period
Zary
McBain
P1
39.3%
46.2%
P2
36.5%
47.4%
P3
44.7%
45.8%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
34.3%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
46.0%▲
41.5%
40.0%
McBain
52.0%▲
49.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 03:38 | Defensive | Connor Zary |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 01:14 | Neutral | Connor Zary |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 2 | 08:56 | Defensive | Connor Zary |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 2 | 05:52 | Offensive | Connor Zary |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 1 | 17:54 | Neutral | Jack McBain |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 1 | 05:58 | Offensive | Jack McBain |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 1 | 01:34 | Offensive | Jack McBain |