Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 47.1% vs Danault 54.5% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zary 71.8%
Defensive zone
Zary 67.7%
Neutral zone
Zary 66.2%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 67.2%
67.2%
32.8%
Zary
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Zary
Danault
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
2
Zary
Danault
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Zary
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (136)
56.2% (745)
-9.1%
Power Play
31.6% (19)
45.1% (51)
-13.5%
On power play, Danault has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Zary is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (80).
Zary shoots left. Danault is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Zary
Danault
Home
45.6% (79)
56.7% (402)
Away
44.7% (76)
53.7% (518)
By Period
Zary
Danault
P1
48.3%
55.5%
P2
46.3%
54.2%
P3
39.5%
55.2%
Final 5 min
47.1%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
45.2%
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 01:26 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 11:08 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 04:58 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |