Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Zary wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 42.6% vs Danault 53.2% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Danault leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Zary 81.9%
Defensive zone
Danault 67.6%
Neutral zone
Zary 60.8%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Zary
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Zary
Danault
Last 10: Zary 4-6 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zary
2
0
Zary
Danault
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
4
Zary
Danault
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
1
2
Zary
Danault
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (447)
53.6% (9,481)
-11.8%
Power Play
36.2% (58)
61.3% (758)
-25.1%
On power play, Danault has a +25.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Zary is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Zary shoots left. Danault is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,902).
Home / Away
Zary
Danault
Home
41.3% (293)
54.2% (5,843)
Away
41.0% (212)
52.3% (6,106)
By Period
Zary
Danault
P1
40.4%
53.7%
P2
38.6%
53.4%
P3
45.2%
52.7%
OT
0.0%
49.3%
Final 5 min
34.6%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
41.2%
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 01:26 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 11:08 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 1 | 04:58 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 1 | 18:58 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 11:21 | Offensive | Connor Zary |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Connor Zary |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 08:03 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 11:31 | Defensive | Connor Zary |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 11:11 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 06:48 | Neutral | Connor Zary |