Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lazar wins 61.5% vs left-shot opponents — Strome shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 58.1% vs Strome 58.3% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 71.1%
Defensive zone
Lazar 88.2%
Neutral zone
Lazar 54.6%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Lazar
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Lazar
Strome
Last 6: Lazar 4-2 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
2
Lazar
Strome
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
3
0
Lazar
Strome
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
63.5% (181)
56.4% (890)
+7.1%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
66.9% (311)
-66.9%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (71)
41.7% (12)
+14.6%
On power play, Strome has a +66.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Lazar is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Lazar shoots right. Strome is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Lazar
Strome
Home
63.0% (135)
55.7% (627)
Away
59.3% (118)
62.5% (586)
By Period
Lazar
Strome
P1
64.6%
61.7%
P2
60.0%
55.7%
P3
59.3%
60.1%
Final 5 min
67.2%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
61.3%
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
58.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 13:36 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 13:03 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 06:48 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 06:50 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 01:30 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 03:14 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |