Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Strome 51.7% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Lazar leads 17-11 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 90.2%
Defensive zone
Lazar 75.2%
Neutral zone
Strome 64.3%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Lazar
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
11
(28 meetings)
17
11
Lazar
Strome
Last 10: Lazar 7-3 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
3
9
Lazar
Strome
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
13
0
Lazar
Strome
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
2
Lazar
Strome
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,665)
50.1% (6,371)
+0.1%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
58.6% (1,532)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
45.6% (68)
-3.7%
On power play, Strome has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Lazar is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,288).
Lazar shoots right. Strome is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,688).
Home / Away
Lazar
Strome
Home
50.1% (1,549)
51.1% (3,968)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
52.3% (4,003)
By Period
Lazar
Strome
P1
48.9%
50.5%
P2
48.9%
52.3%
P3
49.5%
52.3%
OT
56.5%
52.7%
Final 5 min
49.8%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
49.2%
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 13:36 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 13:03 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 06:48 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 06:50 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 01:30 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 03:14 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 02:00 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 16:10 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 18:37 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 18:29 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 12:34 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 05:09 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 16:52 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 06:46 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 08:41 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 04:21 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 10:32 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 05:04 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 2 | 07:02 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |