Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 61.5% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 58.1% vs Tavares 56.8% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 83.9%
Defensive zone
Lazar 84.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 57.0%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Lazar
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Lazar
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lazar
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
63.5% (181)
57.7% (975)
+5.8%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
56.0% (250)
-56.0%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (71)
52.2% (23)
+4.1%
On power play, Tavares has a +56.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Lazar is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Lazar shoots right. Tavares is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (437).
Home / Away
Lazar
Tavares
Home
63.0% (135)
57.4% (636)
Away
59.3% (118)
57.2% (612)
By Period
Lazar
Tavares
P1
64.6%
57.5%
P2
60.0%
56.9%
P3
59.3%
57.5%
Final 5 min
67.2%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
61.3%
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 06:33 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 14:02 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 06:00 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 05:55 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |