Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (61.3% vs 61.6%). Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Lazar wins 61.5% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 58.1% vs Toews 60.4% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 61.6%
Defensive zone
Lazar 87.8%
Neutral zone
Lazar 55.7%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Lazar
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
7
(7 meetings)
0
7
Lazar
Toews
Last 7: Lazar 0-7 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
7
Lazar
Toews
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
63.5% (181)
62.6% (728)
+0.9%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
59.4% (143)
-59.4%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (71)
46.9% (32)
+9.4%
On power play, Toews has a +59.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Lazar is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Lazar shoots right. Toews is 71.3% vs right-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Lazar
Toews
Home
63.0% (135)
61.1% (455)
Away
59.3% (118)
62.1% (448)
By Period
Lazar
Toews
P1
64.6%
59.7%
P2
60.0%
66.7%
P3
59.3%
58.4%
Final 5 min
67.2%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
61.3%
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 09:25 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 06:55 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 15:48 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 02:34 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 13:39 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 08:05 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |