Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Toews 57.9% (-8.7%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 14-0 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Lazar 77.1%
Defensive zone
Lazar 93.3%
Neutral zone
Lazar 83.5%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 79.4%
79.4%
20.6%
Lazar
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
14
(14 meetings)
0
14
Lazar
Toews
Last 10: Lazar 0-10 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
12
Lazar
Toews
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
2
Lazar
Toews
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,665)
57.2% (13,079)
-7.0%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
63.3% (3,254)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
53.6% (1,810)
-11.7%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Lazar is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,288).
Lazar shoots right. Toews is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (6,498).
Home / Away
Lazar
Toews
Home
50.1% (1,549)
59.7% (9,212)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
56.1% (8,962)
By Period
Lazar
Toews
P1
48.9%
58.6%
P2
48.9%
57.9%
P3
49.5%
57.3%
OT
56.5%
58.9%
Final 5 min
49.8%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
49.2%
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 09:25 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 06:55 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 15:48 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 02:34 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 13:39 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 08:05 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 24, 2023 | 2 | 17:41 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 18:39 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 02:13 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 3, 2016 | 2 | 17:27 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 2 | 14:10 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 1 | 04:20 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |