Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 61.5% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 58.1% vs Staal 54.6% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 52.5%
Defensive zone
Lazar 84.3%
Neutral zone
Lazar 67.6%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 84.3%
84.3%
15.7%
Lazar
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lazar
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
0
Lazar
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
63.5% (181)
56.2% (989)
+7.3%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
66.0% (159)
-66.0%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (71)
42.7% (253)
+13.6%
On power play, Staal has a +66.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Lazar is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Lazar shoots right. Staal is 65.0% vs right-shot opponents (431).
Home / Away
Lazar
Staal
Home
63.0% (135)
55.4% (699)
Away
59.3% (118)
54.4% (702)
By Period
Lazar
Staal
P1
64.6%
55.7%
P2
60.0%
54.7%
P3
59.3%
53.4%
Final 5 min
67.2%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
61.3%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 18:10 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |