Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (58% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Staal 55.3% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Lazar 59.3%
Defensive zone
Lazar 61.3%
Neutral zone
Lazar 59.4%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Lazar
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
12
(22 meetings)
10
12
Lazar
Staal
Last 10: Lazar 4-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
1
Lazar
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
7
Lazar
Staal
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
4
Lazar
Staal
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,665)
55.9% (14,654)
-5.7%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
62.7% (1,762)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
47.9% (2,907)
-6.0%
On power play, Staal has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Lazar is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,288).
Lazar shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,583).
Home / Away
Lazar
Staal
Home
50.1% (1,549)
56.4% (9,699)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
54.3% (9,689)
By Period
Lazar
Staal
P1
48.9%
55.2%
P2
48.9%
55.9%
P3
49.5%
54.8%
OT
56.5%
56.2%
Final 5 min
49.8%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
49.2%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 18:10 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 3 | 02:50 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 19:57 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:08 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 14:33 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 07:40 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 07:32 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 3 | 11:40 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 1 | 08:20 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 19:43 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 18:23 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 1 | 07:02 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 24, 2017 | 2 | 15:06 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 24, 2017 | 1 | 18:48 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 3 | 03:02 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 2 | 06:24 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 2 | 19:22 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |