Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.1% vs Scheifele 48.1% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 63.9%
Defensive zone
Lazar 90.9%
Neutral zone
Lazar 64.4%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Lazar
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Lazar
Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
1
Lazar
Scheifele
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
0
Lazar
Scheifele
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (242)
47.8% (960)
+5.1%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
47.0% (219)
+53.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (27)
60.7% (28)
-27.4%
On power play, Lazar has a +53.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Lazar is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (70).
Lazar shoots right. Scheifele is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Lazar
Scheifele
Home
57.1% (119)
50.7% (611)
Away
47.1% (153)
45.1% (596)
By Period
Lazar
Scheifele
P1
53.1%
51.4%
P2
52.2%
47.3%
P3
48.8%
45.0%
Final 5 min
42.0%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
51.5%
Scheifele
48.0%▲
41.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 10:50 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 07:01 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 06:50 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 03:07 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |