Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 43.4% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.0% vs Scheifele 49.5% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 71.7%
Defensive zone
Lazar 88.8%
Neutral zone
Lazar 55.5%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 88.8%
88.8%
11.2%
Lazar
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lazar
Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (356)
48.7% (981)
+2.7%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
53.2% (250)
+9.3%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
43.2% (37)
+4.0%
On power play, Lazar has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Lazar is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (106).
Lazar shoots right. Scheifele is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (343).
Home / Away
Lazar
Scheifele
Home
49.7% (163)
50.0% (672)
Away
52.3% (237)
48.8% (596)
By Period
Lazar
Scheifele
P1
46.9%
51.4%
P2
53.3%
45.1%
P3
53.3%
51.9%
Final 5 min
52.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
51.3%
Scheifele
48.0%▲
41.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 16:44 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |