Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 42.9% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.0% vs Geekie 44.9% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 70.1%
Defensive zone
Geekie 70.4%
Neutral zone
Geekie 73.7%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 70.2%
29.8%
70.2%
Lazar
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Lazar
Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
1
Lazar
Geekie
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
1
Lazar
Geekie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (302)
43.7% (584)
+5.0%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
47.1% (68)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
50.0% (8)
+0.0%
On even strength, Lazar has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Lazar is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (91).
Lazar shoots right. Geekie is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Home / Away
Lazar
Geekie
Home
49.2% (189)
45.3% (329)
Away
48.3% (176)
42.9% (331)
By Period
Lazar
Geekie
P1
50.8%
41.2%
P2
45.2%
45.0%
P3
50.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
43.9%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
48.8%
Geekie
42.0%▼
44.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 05:38 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 01:18 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |