Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.2% vs 48.4%). Look for Geekie on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Lazar wins 47.0% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.2% vs Geekie 48.5% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 85.4%
Defensive zone
Geekie 50.8%
Neutral zone
Geekie 66.2%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 67.6%
32.4%
67.6%
Lazar
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Lazar
Geekie
Last 8: Lazar 1-7 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
1
2
Lazar
Geekie
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
3
Lazar
Geekie
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
2
Lazar
Geekie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (2,665)
48.7% (2,310)
+1.5%
Power Play
52.3% (65)
46.0% (189)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (415)
45.7% (129)
-3.8%
On power play, Lazar has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Lazar is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (857).
Lazar shoots right. Geekie is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (701).
Home / Away
Lazar
Geekie
Home
50.1% (1,549)
50.1% (1,283)
Away
48.2% (1,596)
46.8% (1,345)
By Period
Lazar
Geekie
P1
48.9%
48.6%
P2
48.9%
48.9%
P3
49.5%
47.7%
OT
56.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.8%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
49.2%
Geekie
46.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 05:38 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 2 | 01:18 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 17:19 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 02:36 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 02:11 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 02:04 | Defensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 02:10 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 06:17 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |