Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 60.4% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 58.1% vs Dowd 48.8% (+12.6%)
Offensive zone
Lazar 66.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 55.0%
Neutral zone
Dowd 50.1%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Lazar
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
63.5% (181)
51.2% (666)
+12.3%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
0.0% (2)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (71)
41.5% (224)
+14.8%
On penalty kill, Lazar has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Lazar is 60.4% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Lazar shoots right. Dowd is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Lazar
Dowd
Home
63.0% (135)
48.5% (466)
Away
59.3% (118)
48.8% (426)
By Period
Lazar
Dowd
P1
64.6%
48.4%
P2
60.0%
46.8%
P3
59.3%
51.3%
Final 5 min
67.2%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
61.3%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%