Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 61.5% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 58.1% vs Foligno 49.9% (+11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 62.1%
Defensive zone
Lazar 90.0%
Neutral zone
Lazar 79.5%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 90.0%
90.0%
10.0%
Lazar
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lazar
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
0
Lazar
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
63.5% (181)
49.5% (291)
+14.0%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
55.8% (43)
-55.8%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (71)
47.2% (53)
+9.1%
On power play, Foligno has a +55.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Lazar is 61.5% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Lazar shoots right. Foligno is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (179).
Home / Away
Lazar
Foligno
Home
63.0% (135)
48.9% (178)
Away
59.3% (118)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Lazar
Foligno
P1
64.6%
43.0%
P2
60.0%
55.9%
P3
59.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
67.2%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
61.3%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 10:32 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 07:46 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |