Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Lazar wins 59.0% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 55.9% vs Foligno 49.4% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 63.5%
Defensive zone
Lazar 90.1%
Neutral zone
Lazar 80.3%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 90.1%
90.1%
9.9%
Lazar
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lazar
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
0
Lazar
Foligno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
60.4% (139)
49.3% (215)
+11.1%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
57.1% (35)
-57.1%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (66)
41.9% (43)
+14.2%
On power play, Foligno has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Lazar is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (161).
Lazar shoots right. Foligno is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Home / Away
Lazar
Foligno
Home
63.0% (127)
47.5% (158)
Away
51.9% (79)
51.1% (135)
By Period
Lazar
Foligno
P1
60.6%
42.7%
P2
59.7%
51.4%
P3
55.6%
51.9%
Final 5 min
67.3%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
58.7%
Foligno
40.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 10:32 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 07:46 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |