Scouting Report
Tyler Motte holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Motte on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 49.0% vs Motte 50.2% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Motte 54.0%
Defensive zone
Lazar 55.0%
Neutral zone
Motte 52.4%
Result
Tyler Motte favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Lazar
Motte
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lazar
Motte
Last 5: Lazar 2-3 Motte
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Motte
0
1
Lazar
Motte
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Motte
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Motte
1
2
Lazar
Motte
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Motte
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (302)
49.7% (149)
-1.0%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
100.0% (1)
-55.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (54)
60.0% (5)
-10.0%
On power play, Motte has a +55.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Motte shoots left. Lazar is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Lazar shoots right. Motte is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Home / Away
Lazar
Motte
Home
49.2% (189)
49.4% (89)
Away
48.3% (176)
51.5% (66)
By Period
Lazar
Motte
P1
50.8%
51.7%
P2
45.2%
50.0%
P3
50.0%
48.8%
Final 5 min
43.9%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
48.8%
Motte
38.0%▼
45.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 10:16 | Offensive | Tyler Motte |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 10:40 | Neutral | Tyler Motte |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:14 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Motte |