Scouting Report
Curtis Lazar holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lazar wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Motte shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 51.0% vs Motte 44.9% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 64.3%
Defensive zone
Lazar 90.3%
Neutral zone
Lazar 76.9%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Lazar
Motte
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Lazar
Motte
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
1
Lazar
Motte
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
0
Lazar
Motte
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Motte
Edge
Even Strength
51.4% (356)
40.8% (130)
+10.6%
Power Play
62.5% (8)
50.0% (8)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (36)
42.9% (7)
+4.3%
On power play, Lazar has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Motte shoots left. Lazar is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Lazar shoots right. Motte is 33.9% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Lazar
Motte
Home
49.7% (163)
39.3% (61)
Away
52.3% (237)
42.9% (84)
By Period
Lazar
Motte
P1
46.9%
42.0%
P2
53.3%
44.7%
P3
53.3%
37.5%
Final 5 min
52.1%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
64.0%▲
58.5%
51.3%
Motte
38.0%▼
45.0%
41.4%