Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gauthier on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Gauthier wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gauthier 49.7% vs Suzuki 50.6% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gauthier 54.3%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 75.1%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 60.3%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Gauthier
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Gauthier
Suzuki
Last 7: Gauthier 5-2 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gauthier
4
1
Gauthier
Suzuki
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gauthier
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gauthier
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (116)
51.3% (945)
-7.3%
Power Play
56.3% (87)
50.7% (282)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
40.3% (67)
+26.4%
On penalty kill, Gauthier has a +26.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Gauthier is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (72).
Gauthier shoots left. Suzuki is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
Gauthier
Suzuki
Home
53.1% (98)
51.0% (637)
Away
46.3% (108)
50.2% (657)
By Period
Gauthier
Suzuki
P1
43.0%
53.1%
P2
55.4%
47.4%
P3
50.9%
51.3%
OT
57.1%
48.6%
Final 5 min
51.1%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gauthier
48.0%▼
50.0%
49.5%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | OT | 02:04 | Defensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 08:35 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 15:47 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 00:20 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 12:18 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 02:48 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 02:38 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |