Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gauthier on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Gauthier wins 44.1% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gauthier 47.7% vs Suzuki 49.4% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 55.1%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 86.7%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 63.0%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 64.1%
35.9%
64.1%
Gauthier
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Gauthier
Suzuki
Last 7: Gauthier 5-2 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gauthier
4
1
Gauthier
Suzuki
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gauthier
Suzuki
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gauthier
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (162)
49.4% (6,368)
-6.2%
Power Play
52.6% (97)
50.8% (1,355)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
44.0% (466)
+6.0%
On even strength, Suzuki has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Gauthier is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (93).
Gauthier shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,968).
Home / Away
Gauthier
Suzuki
Home
53.3% (120)
51.1% (4,031)
Away
41.3% (143)
47.7% (4,158)
By Period
Gauthier
Suzuki
P1
43.8%
48.9%
P2
48.8%
49.1%
P3
47.4%
50.3%
OT
57.1%
44.4%
Final 5 min
46.8%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gauthier
48.0%▼
50.0%
46.8%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | OT | 02:04 | Defensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 08:35 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 15:47 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 00:20 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 12:18 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 02:48 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 02:38 | Offensive | Cutter Gauthier |