Scouting Report
Dakota Joshua holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Joshua 51.0% vs Zibanejad 49.5% (+4.0%)
Offensive zone
Joshua 64.0%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 74.6%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 56.9%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Joshua
Zibanejad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Joshua
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (36)
50.1% (1,051)
-0.1%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
58.3% (120)
+41.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
41.9% (227)
-8.6%
On power play, Joshua has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Joshua is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (17).
Joshua shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Home / Away
Joshua
Zibanejad
Home
76.5% (17)
49.0% (681)
Away
38.5% (26)
49.9% (717)
By Period
Joshua
Zibanejad
P1
50.0%
49.9%
P2
58.8%
47.6%
P3
50.0%
51.1%
Final 5 min
16.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Joshua
32.0%▼
47.0%
53.5%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.5%