Scouting Report
Dakota Joshua holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Joshua wins 61.9% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Joshua 51.4% vs Zibanejad 51.8% (+2.8%)
Offensive zone
Joshua 64.6%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 67.4%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 58.1%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Joshua
Zibanejad
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Joshua
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (37)
52.9% (870)
+1.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
53.5% (43)
+46.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
46.2% (143)
+3.8%
On power play, Joshua has a +46.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Joshua is 61.9% vs right-shot opponents (21).
Joshua shoots left. Zibanejad is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (748).
Home / Away
Joshua
Zibanejad
Home
57.1% (28)
55.1% (501)
Away
50.0% (14)
49.2% (555)
By Period
Joshua
Zibanejad
P1
52.9%
57.5%
P2
27.3%
50.7%
P3
78.6%
47.9%
Final 5 min
55.6%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Joshua
32.0%▼
47.0%
54.8%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.0%