Dakota Joshua vs Sam Steel

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Sam Steel holds a +36.3% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Joshua 45.6% vs Steel 50.4% (-36.3%)
Offensive zone Steel 54.4%
Defensive zone Steel 66.1%
Neutral zone Steel 57.4%
Result Sam Steel favored at 59.3%
40.7%
59.3%
Joshua Steel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Joshua
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
18.2% (11)
51.3% (195)
-33.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
43.2% (37)
-43.2%
On penalty kill, Steel has a +43.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Steel shoots left. Joshua is 20.0% vs left-shot opponents (10).
Joshua shoots left. Steel is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (143).
Home / Away
Joshua
Steel
Home
28.6% (7)
50.0% (100)
Away
0.0% (7)
51.1% (139)
By Period
Joshua
Steel
P1
16.7%
49.4%
P2
0.0%
48.1%
P3
33.3%
55.9%
Final 5 min
0.0%
51.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Joshua
44.0%
48.5%
14.3%
Steel
46.0%
48.5%
50.6%