Dakota Joshua vs Sam Steel

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Sam Steel holds a +33.4% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Joshua 43.9% vs Steel 50.6% (-33.4%)
Offensive zone Steel 53.4%
Defensive zone Steel 70.1%
Neutral zone Steel 59.1%
Result Sam Steel favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Joshua Steel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Joshua
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
23.5% (17)
52.5% (200)
-29.0%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
71.4% (7)
-71.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
40.0% (45)
-40.0%
On power play, Steel has a +71.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Steel shoots left. Joshua is 21.4% vs left-shot opponents (14).
Joshua shoots left. Steel is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Joshua
Steel
Home
27.3% (11)
49.5% (109)
Away
8.3% (12)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Joshua
Steel
P1
18.2%
49.5%
P2
12.5%
47.5%
P3
25.0%
56.6%
Final 5 min
0.0%
50.9%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Joshua
32.0%
47.0%
17.4%
Steel
50.0%
49.0%
50.8%