Scouting Report
Dakota Joshua holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Joshua on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Joshua 51.0% vs Steel 50.2% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Joshua 56.3%
Defensive zone
Steel 54.9%
Neutral zone
Joshua 51.7%
Result
Dakota Joshua favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Joshua
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Joshua
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Joshua
1
0
Joshua
Steel
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Joshua
2
1
Joshua
Steel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Joshua
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (283)
50.5% (2,871)
+1.8%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
62.6% (179)
+23.1%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (20)
37.8% (246)
-12.8%
On power play, Joshua has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Joshua is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (178).
Joshua shoots left. Steel is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,067).
Home / Away
Joshua
Steel
Home
49.0% (145)
50.0% (1,551)
Away
53.3% (165)
50.3% (1,745)
By Period
Joshua
Steel
P1
56.6%
51.9%
P2
45.0%
49.5%
P3
52.3%
49.5%
Final 5 min
47.6%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Joshua
44.0%▼
48.5%
51.3%
Steel
46.0%▼
48.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 2 | 02:57 | Neutral | Dakota Joshua |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Dakota Joshua |
| Mar 3, 2021 | 1 | 14:45 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 1, 2021 | 1 | 14:47 | Neutral | Dakota Joshua |