Dawson Mercer vs Elias Lindholm

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Elias Lindholm holds a +16.7% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Mercer 41.9% vs Lindholm 55.3% (-16.7%)
Offensive zone Lindholm 52.4%
Defensive zone Lindholm 71.7%
Neutral zone Lindholm 51.4%
Result Elias Lindholm favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Mercer Lindholm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Mercer
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
38.8% (263)
54.8% (766)
-16.0%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
62.3% (175)
-27.0%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
52.2% (92)
+2.3%
On power play, Lindholm has a +27.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Mercer is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Mercer shoots right. Lindholm is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (280).
Home / Away
Mercer
Lindholm
Home
35.2% (145)
56.6% (578)
Away
43.2% (146)
54.9% (455)
By Period
Mercer
Lindholm
P1
32.7%
55.2%
P2
42.7%
56.3%
P3
42.9%
56.3%
Final 5 min
39.2%
54.8%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%
36.5%
39.2%
Lindholm
64.0%
60.5%
55.9%