Dawson Mercer vs Elias Lindholm
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Mercer wins 40.0% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 40.0% vs Lindholm 53.7% (-14.4%)
H2H factor
Lindholm leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Mercer 79.0%
Defensive zone
Mercer 74.7%
Neutral zone
Mercer 81.3%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 76.8%
76.8%
23.2%
Mercer
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Mercer
Lindholm
Last 7: Mercer 2-5 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
1
3
Mercer
Lindholm
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
2
4
Mercer
Lindholm
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
1
Mercer
Lindholm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (1,403)
53.7% (8,338)
-14.6%
Power Play
41.3% (80)
59.2% (1,683)
-17.9%
Penalty Kill
40.9% (44)
48.1% (1,588)
-7.2%
On power play, Lindholm has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Mercer is 40.0% vs right-shot opponents (442).
Mercer shoots right. Lindholm is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,676).
Home / Away
Mercer
Lindholm
Home
40.0% (737)
54.0% (5,833)
Away
38.6% (790)
53.5% (5,776)
By Period
Mercer
Lindholm
P1
38.0%
53.9%
P2
39.3%
54.4%
P3
41.3%
52.9%
OT
0.0%
53.6%
Final 5 min
39.0%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
37.5%
39.3%
Lindholm
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2025 | 2 | 06:05 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 16, 2022 | 1 | 07:25 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 3 | 01:46 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 3 | 01:41 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 14:57 | Defensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Oct 26, 2021 | 2 | 08:07 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |