Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 36.3% vs left-shot opponents — Dickinson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 41.9% vs Dickinson 49.7% (-10.5%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 76.7%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 85.7%
Neutral zone
Mercer 51.9%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Mercer
Dickinson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
38.8% (263)
51.9% (670)
-13.1%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
66.7% (9)
-31.4%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
39.1% (156)
+15.4%
On power play, Dickinson has a +31.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Mercer is 36.3% vs left-shot opponents (190).
Mercer shoots right. Dickinson is 56.5% vs right-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Mercer
Dickinson
Home
35.2% (145)
48.7% (431)
Away
43.2% (146)
50.7% (404)
By Period
Mercer
Dickinson
P1
32.7%
43.4%
P2
42.7%
54.9%
P3
42.9%
49.6%
Final 5 min
39.2%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.2%
Dickinson
54.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%