Dawson Mercer vs Jason Dickinson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Dickinson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Mercer wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Dickinson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 39.9% vs Dickinson 47.7% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 62.5%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 87.3%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 61.0%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 72.1%
27.9%
72.1%
Mercer
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Mercer
Dickinson
Last 5: Mercer 3-2 Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
1
0
Mercer
Dickinson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
2
Mercer
Dickinson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mercer
1
0
Mercer
Dickinson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (1,412)
49.0% (4,390)
-9.9%
Power Play
41.1% (90)
51.1% (141)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
40.6% (890)
+0.7%
On power play, Dickinson has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Mercer is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,099).
Mercer shoots right. Dickinson is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,951).
Home / Away
Mercer
Dickinson
Home
40.1% (756)
49.3% (2,791)
Away
38.5% (792)
46.0% (2,630)
By Period
Mercer
Dickinson
P1
38.2%
47.0%
P2
39.2%
48.2%
P3
41.2%
47.7%
OT
0.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
39.6%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.3%
Dickinson
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2023 | 3 | 05:16 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 5, 2023 | 3 | 00:37 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 5, 2023 | 2 | 15:41 | Defensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 5, 2023 | 2 | 15:33 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 5, 2023 | 2 | 03:20 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |