Dawson Mercer vs Joel Eriksson Ek
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 36.3% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 41.9% vs Ek 49.2% (-10.0%)
Offensive zone
Mercer 54.6%
Defensive zone
Ek 65.7%
Neutral zone
Ek 52.8%
Result
Joel Eriksson Ek favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Mercer
Ek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
38.8% (263)
48.1% (858)
-9.3%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
53.3% (272)
-18.0%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
47.9% (188)
+6.6%
On power play, Ek has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Mercer is 36.3% vs left-shot opponents (190).
Mercer shoots right. Ek is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (417).
Home / Away
Mercer
Ek
Home
35.2% (145)
49.9% (693)
Away
43.2% (146)
48.3% (625)
By Period
Mercer
Ek
P1
32.7%
47.4%
P2
42.7%
53.1%
P3
42.9%
46.3%
Final 5 min
39.2%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.2%
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
49.2%