Dawson Mercer vs Joel Eriksson Ek
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Joel Eriksson Ek holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Ek on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Mercer wins 39.0% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 39.9% vs Ek 47.8% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mercer 76.2%
Defensive zone
Mercer 68.4%
Neutral zone
Mercer 73.4%
Result
Dawson Mercer favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Mercer
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Mercer
Ek
Last 7: Mercer 2-5 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ek
1
4
Mercer
Ek
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Mercer
Ek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (1,412)
47.5% (6,717)
-8.4%
Power Play
41.1% (90)
55.1% (1,500)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
40.3% (1,176)
+1.0%
On power play, Ek has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Mercer is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,099).
Mercer shoots right. Ek is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,256).
Home / Away
Mercer
Ek
Home
40.1% (756)
48.6% (4,644)
Away
38.5% (792)
47.0% (4,749)
By Period
Mercer
Ek
P1
38.2%
46.8%
P2
39.2%
49.5%
P3
41.2%
46.7%
OT
0.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
39.6%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.3%
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2023 | 2 | 13:01 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 1 | 05:04 | Defensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 11:05 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 10:55 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 19:06 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 17:38 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 00:31 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |