Dawson Mercer vs Mark Scheifele
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mark Scheifele holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Mercer wins 39.9% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 39.9% vs Scheifele 46.8% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 55.6%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 55.9%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 51.3%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Mercer
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Mercer
Scheifele
Last 10: Mercer 5-5 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mercer
2
1
Mercer
Scheifele
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
4
Mercer
Scheifele
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mercer
2
0
Mercer
Scheifele
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
39.1% (1,412)
46.3% (12,077)
-7.2%
Power Play
41.1% (90)
50.2% (2,576)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
41.6% (598)
-0.3%
On power play, Scheifele has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Mercer is 39.9% vs right-shot opponents (449).
Mercer shoots right. Scheifele is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,390).
Home / Away
Mercer
Scheifele
Home
40.1% (756)
48.9% (7,678)
Away
38.5% (792)
44.7% (7,574)
By Period
Mercer
Scheifele
P1
38.2%
48.2%
P2
39.2%
45.6%
P3
41.2%
46.8%
OT
0.0%
42.5%
Final 5 min
39.6%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.3%
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 13:18 | Defensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 19:24 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 08:30 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 08:23 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 08:08 | Neutral | Dawson Mercer |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 04:30 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 00:28 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 1 | 16:50 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 12:40 | Offensive | Dawson Mercer |