Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +17.9% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 36.3% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 41.9% vs Frost 56.4% (-17.9%)
Offensive zone
Frost 78.5%
Defensive zone
Frost 57.7%
Neutral zone
Frost 56.8%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
Mercer
Frost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
38.8% (263)
56.0% (755)
-17.2%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
60.1% (173)
-24.8%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
88.9% (9)
-34.4%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +34.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Mercer is 36.3% vs left-shot opponents (190).
Mercer shoots right. Frost is 54.8% vs right-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Mercer
Frost
Home
35.2% (145)
57.3% (497)
Away
43.2% (146)
56.8% (440)
By Period
Mercer
Frost
P1
32.7%
60.2%
P2
42.7%
56.0%
P3
42.9%
54.8%
Final 5 min
39.2%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
36.5%
39.2%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
57.1%